Everyone agrees a political wave will hit on Nov. 2, though Democrats and Republicans disagree on the size of it. Some see a “normal” political wave, while others expect a political tsunami. Obviously, with reapportionment and redistricting on the schedule for 2011 and 2012, a huge Republican victory has larger ramifications than merely who will […]
Can Sen. Lisa Murkowski, who was denied renomination by Alaska Republicans, win as a write-in candidate in November? Obviously, it’s a long shot, as is any write-in campaign, but is it impossible? I start off skeptical, but I’m not sure. For anyone who doesn’t know about Alaska politics, let’s just say that at one time […]
Countless stories and hours of cable television have been filled with analysis describing this year’s elections as tantamount to an anti-incumbent wave. But as the primaries come to a close, it’s clear that instead of throwing the bums out, voters have let the vast majority of incumbents move on to the general election. “Plenty of […]
The pattern is a familiar one. Purist conservative challengers in GOP primaries start out as asterisks in early polls, but in the final week or two, they surge to victory, as national tea party groups pump money and energy into low-turnout primaries. For the most part, these primary outcomes probably won’t matter. Yes, Kentucky Secretary […]
After a battery of recent public polls showed Gov. Ted Strickland (D) slipping in his bid for re-election, the Democratic incumbent released his own poll that shows he’s not dead yet. Former Cong. John Kasich (R) led Strickland 48%-45% in large sample of 1,200 likely voters conducted September 7-9 and 12-14 by the Feldman Group. […]