Analysis

4239 Results

Scenario #1: Base Turns Out Late, Saves Democrats

One month before Election Day and this much is clear: Democrats will take a pounding when frustrated (and in some cases unemployed) voters go to the polls. Public opinion polls show a majority of Americans are unhappy with the present course of the country and are impatient for a reversal in the economy’s long, downward […]

2010 Senate Overview (October 1, 2010)

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2010 House Overview (October 1, 2010)

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2010 Gubernatorial Overview (October 1, 2010)

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For Democrats, Senate Still a Possible Nightmare

Delaware’s Republican primary may well have lulled Democrats into a sense of complacency about their ability to hold the Senate after November’s elections. They would be wise to wake up if they want to avoid a nasty surprise on election night. Tea party activists did indeed do Democrats a huge favor in selecting Christine O’Donnell […]

DSCC Buying Time in Connecticut Senate Race

With polls showing the race tightening and Democratic Senate nominee Richard Blumenthal slipping to or under the 50% mark in his contest against Linda McMahon (R), the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is buying time in Connecticut, according to a reliable political source. Democrats once hoped that Attorney General Blumenthal’s initial popularity in such a blue […]

Parties’ Opposition Research Efforts Fuel Late Ads

As voters are being bombarded with political attack ads in the lead-up to November, few likely realize that what appears as a fine-print citation in a 30-second television commercial is the result of months of opposition research and an orchestrated communication effort by parties and candidates. In a cycle where the environment heavily favors the […]

Final Stretch Not as Important as You Think

You’d never know it from the avalanche of TV ads, direct-mail pieces and phone calls that voters will receive in October, but most campaigns have only another week or two to change the likely outcome of their contests. Sure, the midterm elections are still five weeks away, but the combination of early voting in many […]

Kentucky Senate Bluegrass Poll: Another Interpretation

When asked about the new Bluegrass Poll, which showed Republican Rand Paul’s lead shrinking from 15 points in an early September survey to a mere two points in a new survey, SurveyUSA pollster Jay Leve commented, “Whether that is a result of genuine traction for (Conway), second thoughts about his opponent, or a newly raised […]

2010 Senate Overview (September 24, 2010)

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