Analysis

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2014 House Overview (March 8, 2013) Iowa – Oklahoma

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2014 House Overview (March 8, 2013) Oregon – Wyoming

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Governorships a Big Opportunity for Democrats in 2014

While the fight for the House of Representatives will take center stage next year, another battle could be almost as important for the two parties: control of a handful of big-state governorships. Republicans like to point out that while they lost the presidency and seats in both chambers of Congress in 2012, their party continues […]

Michigan Senate: Levin to Retire, But Open Seat Remains Safe for Now

Democratic Sen. Carl Levin’s decision to not seek a seventh term certainly doesn’t come as a shock — and it also doesn’t immediately warrant a change in how competitive his seat in Michigan should be viewed. The rare open seat — the last since Spencer Abraham (R) was elected in 1994 — is sure to […]

South Carolina 1: Colbert’s Sister an Underdog, but Worth Watching

Elizabeth Colbert Busch hopes to win a special election for Congress this year. That’s possible but also unlikely, as it would take something close to a political “perfect storm” for the Democrat to win the reliably Republican House seat in South Carolina. Of course, you wouldn’t know that from all the ink she has received. […]

California 21: Rubio (D) not running

Rubio isn’t running, but it’s not the Rubio you’re thinking of. Late last month, Democrat Michael Rubio of Bakersfield resigned his seat in the California state senate in order to take a private sector job, and his decision is having a ripple effect on both coasts. Rubio was widely viewed as a rising star in […]

Some Hispanic Congressional Members Breaking Partisan Mold

Congress is derided as an increasingly partisan and polarized body, but a handful of Hispanic Members are trying to break the gridlock. According to new ratings from National Journal, Republican Reps. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (Fla.), Mario Diaz-Balart (Fla.), Jaime Herrera Beutler (Wash.), and Raul Labrador (Idaho), as well as Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar of Texas were […]

Bloomberg’s Much Ado About Nothing Much

The strategy was pretty clear from the start. Pick a fight in a place where you have a substantial advantage and where almost nobody else is playing, dump a ton of money attacking one candidate and supporting another, and then declare victory when — surprise! surprise! — your candidate wins. That is what happened in […]

Can Obama Put the House In Play in 2014?

Over the past few weeks, I have heard some people suggest that President Barack Obama’s strategy in pursuing his legislative agenda is more about creating issues for the 2014 midterm elections than about passing legislation. Whether that is true, it leads to an obvious question: Is the president able to put the House back into […]

Illinois 2 Special: The Real Range of Gun Control

Tuesday’s special election in Illinois’ 2nd District has been dominated by gun control — an issue magnified by the $2.2 million Michael Bloomberg’s political action committee has dropped into the Chicago contest to attack two candidates. There is no question the New York City mayor’s multi-million dollar investment has had an outsized impact in the […]