Three weeks ago, I discussed whether the House is likely to flip control next year by looking at historical trends and “big picture” questions. Those trends show that the Democrats’ task is a challenging one. But as the past two cycles have shown, rules are made to be broken. So now, it’s time to get […]
Pete Aguilar was supposed to be a Member of Congress by now, but a serious miscalculation delayed his arrival in Washington. Aguilar is the 33 year-old mayor of Redlands, a city of almost 70,000 people in southern California’s Inland Empire, located east of Los Angeles. Viewed as a rising star in the Democratic Party, Aguilar […]
In what can only be regarded as an interesting gamble, Wisconsin Rep. Paul D. Ryan and House Republicans this week are proposing an economic agenda oddly similar to the one they have been offering for the past two years. Among other things, the Ryan budget plan, which intends to balance the federal budget in 10 […]
In a Wednesday briefing with allied groups and reporters, DCCC Chairman Steve Israel emphasized that his party’s struggle to win the 17 seats begins in 2013, as he outlined how Democrats will secure early commitments from top recruits. It’s a mesage his GOP counterpart, new NRCC Chairman Greg Walden, knows well too, and both parties […]
Moments after the Rothenberg Political Report reiterated its “Safe” rating of the now open Michigan Senate race, I started hearing complaints. Some of the questions raised were reasonable — so reasonable that I thought I’d use this space to explain why my colleagues and I decided not to move the race immediately to a more […]
Every election cycle the party campaign committees, and many in the national media, make a big deal about party fundraising. Coverage of the money chase has been exacerbated by the fact that these committees file monthly reports detailing their fundraising, as opposed to quarterly. To wit: “House Democratic campaign raises more than $6 million in […]
As former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush continues to do nothing to end speculation that he might run for president in 2016, his Florida ally, Sen. Marco Rubio, twists in the wind. Florida and national insiders have been operating under the assumption that the two Florida Republicans would never run against each other for the nomination […]
If Democrats are going to have any chance of netting 17 seats during the 2014 midterms — and taking back control of the House — they are going to have to do a much better job in a handful of districts where their recruiting fell far short in 2012. Here are four districts where they […]