Analysis

4242 Results

Illinois Senate: The Most Vulnerable Senator in the Country

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Arizona Landscape Shifts in Two Races

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Report Shorts (May 29, 2015) Indiana Governor, Indiana Senate, Kentucky Governor, Nevada Senate

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How to Fix an Unfair Presidential Debate System

Fox News and CNN, which will broadcast the first two GOP presidential debates, have decided on a system for excluding candidates that could result in Donald Trump participating in those debates but current or former senators and governors being excluded. Nice going, guys. I certainly agree having a debate with 16 candidates is simply unwatchable, […]

Kirkpatrick’s Decision Prompts Ratings Changes in Two Arizona Races

Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick’s challenge to Republican Sen. John McCain impacts our ratings of two races in Arizona.  Up to this point, McCain was considered a heavy favorite for re-election to a sixth term, in part because the senator has proven to be a tough campaigner. Moreover, Republicans have carried The Grand Canyon State in […]

500 Attack Emails Couldn’t Take Down Thom Tillis

There were a few constants during the 2014 cycle: death, taxes, my three young kids waking up before 7 a.m. and a daily Democratic email attacking North Carolina Speaker Thom Tillis. But in the end, even in the face of hundreds of blistering emails, the Republican challenger knocked off Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan in one […]

Can Republicans Repeat an Upset in Colorado?

The May 5 email I received from Colorado Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet’s campaign committee opened with: “Larry Sabato in Politico: COLORADO IS ONE OF ONLY SEVEN 2016 TOSS-UPS. Colorado will decide the 2016 election!” Forget the fact Sabato’s piece was talking about the Electoral College and the presidential contest, not the Senate race in the […]

Nevada Senate: Republicans Hope for Heck of a Race

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Nevada House: Republicans on the Defensive

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Path to GOP Nomination Starts by Dealing with Loss in Iowa

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