Analysis

4240 Results

2018 House Overview (Nov. 10, 2017) Kansas – New York

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2018 House Overview (Nov. 10, 2017) North Carolina – Wyoming

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Candidate Conversation – Lauren Baer (D)

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Candidate Conversation – Paul Davis (D)

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Candidate Conversation – Roger Dean Huffstetler (D)

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Ten Thoughts after Democrats’ Big Wins in Virginia

Everyone take a deep breath. We’re all starving for tangible election results and now we have them. But just as the previous Republican wins in congressional special elections didn’t guarantee the party would have a good 2018, losses on Tuesday night don’t necessarily tell us a Democratic wave in the House has developed.  Democrats had […]

Please Don’t Call It a Push Poll: Transgender Edition

Danica Roem and Bob Marshall are facing off in an unusually high-profile race for the Virginia House of Delegates — Roem, a transgender Democrat, is challenging Marshall, a conservative Republican. The race reached a new level in the final weeks when allegations of a so-called push poll came to light. My longtime colleague Stuart Rothenberg […]

Rating Change: LoBiondo Retirement Makes GOP Seat More Vulnerable

GOP Rep. Frank LoBiondo’s retirement gives Democrats a better opportunity to win New Jersey’s 2nd District.  Democrats have had their eye on the South Jersey seat for years, particularly after President Barack Obama won the seat by 8 points in 2012. But the party has struggled to find a credible candidate against the congressman, considering […]

Why You Should Focus on Independents from Now to the Midterms

In my last column, I wrote about Donald Trump’s job approval ratings among Republicans, Democrats and Independents, noting that his standing among all groups is important. But my primary focus for 2018 should be on Independents, who are likely to be the canary in the coal mine for the midterm elections. How Independents vote, either […]

2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview: Democrats Aim for Statewide Success

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