Analysis

4240 Results

Candidate Conversation – Josh Butner (D)

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Candidate Conversation – Mike Braun (R)

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The Battle for Orange County in the Fight for the House

YORBA LINDA, Calif. — Celina Estrada and Sam Zapata weren’t even born when Republican Ed Royce was first elected to Congress in 1992. Yet a year before the 2018 elections, the two students spent a recent evening knocking on doors in the hills of Orange County, California, to support the vulnerable congressman. Royce hasn’t had […]

Good Candidate, Bad Candidate … Who Knows?

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Can Democrats “Minnick” John Katko and Erik Paulsen?

New York Rep. John Katko and Minnesota Rep. Erik Paulsen have been very popular with voters. Unbeatable? Maybe not, but certainly well-entrenched and able to win in very challenging environments. But even popular incumbents have been swept from office during partisan electoral waves, and Republicans Katko and Paulsen should be on your radar as potential […]

Members Face Tough Odds in Races for Governor

There’s been plenty of media attention on the 15 members who have decided to call it quits and retire from the House, and another eight members are seeking a promotion to the Senate. But nine additional members are forgoing likely re-elections for uncertain and challenging races to become their state’s governor. Many of them have […]

Ratings Change: Alabama Senate Moves to Toss-up

Roy Moore is testing a once-hypothetical question: What would it take for a Democrat to win a statewide race in Alabama? Under normal circumstances, Alabama would elect a Republican to Senate, even a candidate as polarizing as Moore. But the situation changed when The Washington Post reported allegations of past sexual misconduct. This is no […]

I Interviewed 16 House Candidates in Two Days and Survived

I’ve interviewed at least 1,000 congressional candidates over the last 16 years, but never 16 candidates in two days. More than 100 Democratic candidates running for the House descended on the nation’s capital a few weeks ago for candidate training hosted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Leah and I interviewed eight candidates each day. […]

2018 House Overview: Early Warning Signs?

Democrats haven’t struggled to recruit candidates, but this week’s results in Virginia should encourage any wavering House challengers to get off the sidelines. Even so, it remains unclear whether Tuesday’s sweeping victories portend a national electoral wave next year.  Two gubernatorial wins and unexpected gains in the House of Delegates gave Democrats some high-profile wins, […]

2018 House Overview (Nov. 10, 2017) Alabama – Iowa

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