Analysis

4239 Results

Senate Report Shorts (Nov. 1, 2018)

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House Report Shorts (Nov. 1, 2018)

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Introducing Inside Elections Baseline and Vote Above Replacement (VAR)

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For Handicapping Midterm Races, Old Rules May No Longer Apply

Political handicapping is more than looking at polls and regurgitating who is ahead. Throughout an election cycle, there are signs political handicappers use to understand what is happening at a given moment and to project how races will play out in the weeks or months ahead. During the endgame, one of the most reliable rules […]

2018 Election Preview: Midterms’ Mixed Messages

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Senate Report Shorts (Oct. 26, 2018)

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House Report Shorts (Oct. 26, 2018)

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Candidate Conversation – Todd Litton (D)

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House Midterm Outlook: Look for a Democratic Flip

Are we still headed for a Democratic wave in the House next month? That all depends on how you define a wave. But one thing is clear: Democrats are still likely to flip the chamber even after all the buzz about a post-Kavanaugh Republican bounce. A wave occurs when a large number of one party’s […]

Stop Calling 2018 ‘The Year Of The Woman’

Declaring 2018 anything but the Year of the Woman is heresy by now. It’s consistently, casually mentioned as a matter of fact. This year‘s regarded as a natural succession to 1992, which was the last time an election resulted in the number of women in the House increasing by double digits. But a deeper dive […]