Analysis

4239 Results

2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 1, 2019) Alabama – Kansas

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2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 4, 2019) Kentucky – New Mexico

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2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 4, 2019) North Carolina – Wyoming

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Why We’re Not Releasing 2020 Race Ratings Yet

I love elections, particularly congressional races, but I’m just not in a hurry to jump to 2020. And I’m completely fine with holding off on releasing our race ratings until next year. If I didn’t like elections, I would probably need to take a long look at doing something else with my life, although at […]

House Primaries on the Horizon for Democrats in 2020

We already know the Democratic presidential primary is going to be crowded and crazy as a few dozen candidates battle for the right to take on President Donald Trump. But at least a handful of 2020 House primaries are also on the horizon for Democrats as the party fights over ideology and loyalty. And there’s […]

North Carolina: Blue Wave Steered Clear of ‘Blue Moon’ Election

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Post-Midterms Baseline and Vote Above Replacement (VAR) Update

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2019 Gubernatorial Overview: There’s No Off Year in Three States

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Expect Record Turnout in 2020

With the 2018 elections coming to an end, it’s clear that voters set a modern record for turnout in a midterm. And there’s no reason to believe voters won’t set another record two years from now. According to the United States Election Project, turnout this year was nearly 50 percent of the voting-eligible population, the […]

Are White Evangelicals the Saviors of the GOP?

Amid all the talk about shifting demographics and political changes over the last decade, one key voting group has remained virtually unchanged: white evangelicals. According to one evangelical leader, a record number of white evangelicals voted in the 2018 midterms after an inspired turnout effort. “This is the most ambitious and most effective voter education, […]