Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Wiley Nickel
D Democrat

Wiley Nickel

Candidate NC Senate

Next Election

Past Elections

NC-13: 2024, 2022

2026 Election: NC Senate

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Current Rating
Toss-up
2025 Baseline
+2.3 D 48.6, R 50.9

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Analysis

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Senate Report Shorts (March 12, 2026)

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Texas, North Carolina Kick off 2026 Primaries

March 4, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 22, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

North Carolina Senate: Tar Heel Target

December 18, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

A Detailed Analysis of North Carolina’s New Congressional Map

October 24, 2025
by Nathaniel Rakich

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Oct. 23, 2025)

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

North Carolina Senate: Tillis Decision Creates Open Seat

June 29, 2025
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026 NC — Senate II
July 24, 2025
Toss-up
June 29, 2025
Battleground Republican
January 9, 2025
Battleground Republican
2024 NC-13 — House
January 22, 2024
Likely Republican
December 1, 2023
Likely Republican
October 27, 2023
Likely Republican
2024 NC — Senate III
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022 NC-13 — House
March 18, 2022
Toss-up
December 3, 2021
Solid Republican
November 19, 2021
Solid Republican