R Republican

Ken Paxton

Candidate TX Senate II

Next Election

2026 Election: TX Senate II

Current Rating

Likely Republican

2025 Baseline

+10.9 D 43.8, R 54.7

Campaign Finance Data

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Analysis

Cornyn Loss Headlines Texas Primary Runoff Results

May 26, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin

Texas, North Carolina Kick off 2026 Primaries

March 4, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Texas: Republicans, Democrats Face Critical Early Primaries

February 19, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 22, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

January 22, 2026

by Nathan Gonzales

Why Cornyn is Still at Risk of Losing in Texas

October 25, 2025

by Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

October 23, 2025

by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Oct. 9, 2025)

October 9, 2025

by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Sept. 25, 2025)

September 25, 2025

by Jacob Rubashkin

Senate & Governor Report Shorts (Sept. 11, 2025)

September 11, 2025

by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026 TX — Senate II

July 24, 2025

Likely Republican

January 9, 2025

Likely Republican