Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Tom Weiler
R Republican

Tom Weiler

Candidate MN Senate

Next Election

Past Elections

MN-03: 2022

2026 Election: MN Senate

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Current Rating
Likely Democrat
2025 Baseline
+6.9 D 51.7, R 44.8

Campaign Finance Data

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VAR

-0.5

2022 - House, MN-03

Analysis

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2026 Senate Overview

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (Dec. 18, 2025)

December 18, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 15, 2025)

May 15, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 1, 2025)

May 1, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

April 17, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): Kansas – New York

March 7, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Minnesota Senate: Smith Decision Creates Open Seat

February 13, 2025
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2026 MN — Senate II
July 24, 2025
Likely Democrat
February 13, 2025
Battleground Democrat
January 9, 2025
Solid Democrat
2026 MN — Senate I
January 9, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
2022 MN-03 — House
February 18, 2022
Solid Democrat