Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
R Republican

Ron DeSantis

Incumbent FL Governor

Next Election

Past Elections

FL: 2022, 2018

2026 Election: FL Governor

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Current Rating
Solid Republican
2025 Baseline
+10.3 D 44.5, R 54.8

Past Elections

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VAR

5.5

2022 - Governor, FL

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Alabama – Illinois

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026 FL — Governor
February 6, 2025
Solid Republican
2022 FL — Governor
March 4, 2022
Likely Republican
December 3, 2021
Battleground Republican
February 19, 2021
Battleground Republican
2018 FL — Governor
September 28, 2018
Tilt Democrat
April 21, 2017
Toss-up