Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Michelle Steel
R Republican

Michelle Steel

Candidate CA-45 House

Next Election

Past Elections

CA-45: 2022
CA-48: 2020

Born

1955

Years Served

2021-2025

Years of Service

Congress Chamber State/District Years
118 House of Representatives CA-45 2023-2025
117 House of Representatives CA-48 2021-2023

Campaign Finance Data

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VAR

0.3

2024 - House, CA-45

Analysis

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Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

It’s Beginning to Look a Lot Like … a Traditional Midterm Election

December 4, 2025
by Nathan Gonzales

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Nov. 6, 2025)

November 6, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

12 Initial Takeaways from Tuesday’s Elections

November 5, 2025
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

A Detailed Analysis of California’s (Maybe) New Congressional Map

August 21, 2025
by Nathaniel Rakich

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Alaska – Iowa

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026 CA-45 — House
December 5, 2025
Tilt Democrat
November 6, 2025
Tilt Democrat
March 7, 2025
Toss-up
2024 CA-45 — House
October 18, 2024
Toss-up
August 29, 2024
Tilt Republican
December 1, 2023
Lean Republican
March 10, 2023
Lean Republican
2022 CA-45 — House
August 25, 2022
Lean Republican
July 15, 2022
Tilt Republican
January 10, 2022
Toss-up
December 28, 2021
Toss-up
2020 CA-48 — House
December 6, 2019
Lean Democrat
February 15, 2019
Lean Democrat