D Democrat

Katie Hobbs

Incumbent AZ Governor

Next Election

Past Elections

AZ: 2022

2026 Election: AZ Governor

Current Rating

Toss-up

2025 Baseline

+1.3 D 49.1, R 50.4

Past Elections

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VAR

1.7

2022 - Governor, AZ

Analysis

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Alabama – Illinois

August 28, 2025

by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026 AZ — Governor

August 28, 2025

Toss-up

February 6, 2025

Battleground Democrat

2022 AZ — Governor

March 4, 2022

Toss-up

December 3, 2021

Battleground Republican

February 19, 2021

Battleground Republican