Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
D Democrat

Elaine Luria

Candidate VA-02 House

Next Election

Past Elections

VA-02: 2022, 2020

2026 Election: VA-02

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Current Rating
Toss-up
2024 Baseline
+3.4 D 51.3, R 47.9

Campaign Finance Data

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VAR

0.4

2022 - House, VA-02

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Virginia 2: A Rematch at the Beach

May 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia House: Four House Races Shift To Democrats

April 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia Redistricting: Democrats Pushing for Four More Seats

April 9, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (June 20, 2025)

June 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026 VA-02 — House
December 5, 2025
Toss-up
March 7, 2025
Toss-up
2022 VA-02 — House
November 3, 2022
Tilt Republican
February 8, 2022
Toss-up
2020 VA-02 — House
October 28, 2020
Likely Democrat
December 6, 2019
Lean Democrat
November 26, 2019
Lean Democrat
February 15, 2019
Tilt Democrat