Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
D Democrat

Dan Ahlers

Candidate SD Governor

Next Election

Past Elections

SD: 2020

2026 Election: SD Governor

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Current Rating
Solid Republican
2025 Baseline
+30.2 D 34.1, R 64.3

Campaign Finance Data

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VAR

0.7

2020 - Senate, SD

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Senate Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Governor Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 22, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): New York – Wyoming

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

April 17, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 9, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

January 9, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026 SD — Governor
February 6, 2025
Solid Republican
2020 SD — Senate II
December 15, 2020
Solid Republican
January 4, 2019
Solid Republican