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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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2026
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South Carolina
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Current Rating
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2025 Baseline
What's This?
R +15.1
D: 41.8%, R: 56.9%
2028 Election
Class III
View Seat
R
Tim Scott
Past Elections
SC:
2024
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2022
, 2020, 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012
SC-01: 2010
Committees
Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs
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Past Elections
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Analysis
See All
Maryland, New York, Utah and South Carolina Primary Results
June 24, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
,
Nathan Gonzales
&
Inshara Ali
Senate Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)
June 11, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Primary Results in Maine, Nevada and South Carolina
June 10, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
&
Nathan Gonzales
2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 22, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming
January 22, 2026
by
Nathan Gonzales
2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming
October 23, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming
July 24, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming
April 17, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Jan. 24, 2025)
January 24, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 9, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming
January 9, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Primary Results in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, and South Carolina, and Ohio 6 Special
June 12, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Ratings
2026
April 23, 2026
Likely Republican
January 9, 2025
Solid Republican
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
January 8, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
December 15, 2020
Tilt Republican
October 1, 2020
Tilt Republican
September 18, 2020
Lean Republican
July 10, 2020
Likely Republican
January 4, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
January 25, 2013
Solid Republican
January 25, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle
June 24, 2010
Solid Republican
More
Baselines
About
2025
+15.1
D 41.8
,
R 56.9
2024
+15.1
2022
+15.4
2020
+16.0
2018
+16.5
2016
+16.8
2014
+15.2