Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Nevada
Senate

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +1.5
D: 48.7%, R: 47.2%

Class I

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Class III

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
13
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
9
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Primary Results in Maine, Nevada and South Carolina

June 10, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 9, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2024
October 10, 2024
Lean Democrat
July 28, 2023
Tilt Democrat
January 6, 2023
Battleground Democrat
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
January 7, 2022
Toss-up
January 8, 2021
Battleground Democrat
2020
January 4, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
November 1, 2018
Tilt Democrat
July 7, 2017
Toss-up
January 13, 2017
Lean Republican
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
July 6, 2015
Toss-up
March 27, 2015
Tilt Democrat
January 9, 2015
Lean Democrat
2014
January 25, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
October 26, 2012
Tilt Republican
May 20, 2011
Toss-up
May 5, 2011
Tilt Republican
April 8, 2011
Tilt Republican
March 7, 2011
Lean Republican
January 28, 2011
Lean Republican
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
August 9, 2010
Toss-up
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle
June 24, 2010
Tilt Republican

Baselines

About
2025+1.5D 48.7, R 47.2
2024
+1.5
2022
+1.8
2020
+2.5
2018
+2.3
2016
+3.1
2014
+2.6