Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Kentucky
Senate

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Solid R

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +18.7
D: 40.1%, R: 58.8%

2026 Election

Class II

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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JAN
9
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Oregon Primary Results

May 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Oct. 9, 2025)

October 9, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

April 17, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 9, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

January 9, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Coverage

Daniel Cameron looks to faith as GOP Senate race comes to a close on Election Day

May 26, 2026
Lexington Herald-Leader

Ratings

2026
February 20, 2025
Solid Republican
January 9, 2025
Solid Republican
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
January 8, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
December 15, 2020
Solid Republican
January 4, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
January 9, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
November 1, 2014
Likely Republican
December 19, 2013
Lean Republican
January 25, 2013
Likely Republican
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
October 29, 2010
Lean Republican
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle
June 24, 2010
Tilt Republican

Baselines

About
2025+18.7D 40.1, R 58.8
2024
+18.7
2022
+19.9
2020
+15.6
2018
+15.7
2016
+9.6
2014
+8.7