Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

South Carolina
President

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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No Rating

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +15.1
D: 41.8%, R: 56.9%

2026 Election

Incumbents

  • Vacant

Candidates

Unopposed

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
30
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
9
2026
Primary Election Day
JUN
23
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020
by Nathan Gonzales

Who Will Win South Carolina Saturday? Just Look at the Voters

February 19, 2016
by Stuart Rothenberg

Can Rubio Win Even If He Loses?

January 13, 2016
by Stuart Rothenberg

Ratings

2024
April 26, 2023
Solid Republican
April 26, 2023
Solid Republican
2020
July 17, 2020
Likely Republican
July 17, 2020
Likely Republican
March 8, 2019
Solid Republican
2016
March 6, 2015
Solid Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican

Baselines

About
2025+15.1D 41.8, R 56.9
2024
+15.1
2022
+15.4
2020
+16.0
2018
+16.5
2016
+16.8
2014
+15.2