Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Missouri
President

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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No Rating

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +17.8
D: 39.8%, R: 57.6%
September 29, 2025
On Sept. 29, 2025, Missouri redrew its congressional map to elect an additional Republican to the House this fall.
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2026 Election

Incumbents

  • Vacant

Candidates

Unopposed

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
31
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
4
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020
by Nathan Gonzales

Jason Kander May Have Made a Big Mistake

February 22, 2017
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2024
April 26, 2023
Solid Republican
April 26, 2023
Solid Republican
2020
October 16, 2020
Lean Republican
July 17, 2020
Likely Republican
July 17, 2020
Likely Republican
March 8, 2019
Solid Republican
March 8, 2019
Solid Republican
2016
March 6, 2015
Likely Republican
March 6, 2015
Likely Republican
2012
March 9, 2012
Solid Republican
March 9, 2012
Solid Republican
February 24, 2012
Lean Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican

Baselines

About
2025+17.8D 39.8, R 57.6
2024
+17.8
2022
+15.6
2020
+15.6
2018
+6.5
2016
+7.2
2014
+2.0