Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

California
President

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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No Rating

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +22.4
D: 61%, R: 38.6%
November 4, 2025
California voters approved a new congressional map for the 2026, 2028, and 2030 cycles that was drawn to help Democrats flip an additional 3 to 5 seats.
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2026 Election

Incumbents

  • Vacant

Candidates

Unopposed

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
6
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Presidential: Walz Joins Harris on Democratic Ticket

August 7, 2024
by Nathan Gonzales

Trump’s Surprising Gains with Minority Voters

November 19, 2020
by Ryan Matsumoto

Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2024
April 26, 2023
Solid Democrat
2020
March 8, 2019
Solid Democrat
2016
March 6, 2015
Solid Democrat
2012
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat

Baselines

About
2025+22.4D 61.0, R 38.6
2024
+22.4
2022
+23.1
2020
+21.3
2018
+21.1
2016
+15.5
2014
+15.3