Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Wisconsin
Senate III

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +0.9
D: 49.7%, R: 48.8%

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
1
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
11
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (April 9, 2026)

April 9, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 5, 2026)

February 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
April 1, 2022
Tilt Republican
January 7, 2022
Lean Republican
January 8, 2021
Battleground Republican
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
November 3, 2016
Tilt Democrat
September 30, 2016
Lean Democrat
June 3, 2016
Tilt Democrat
January 9, 2015
Toss-up
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
October 15, 2010
Lean Republican
September 24, 2010
Tilt Republican
August 9, 2010
Toss-up
July 23, 2010
Tilt Democrat
June 24, 2010
Likely Democrat

Baselines

About
2025+0.9D 49.7, R 48.8
2024
+0.9
2022
+1.1
2020
+0.5
2018
+0.1
2016
+3.3
2014
+2.8