Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Pennsylvania
Senate III

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +1.7
D: 49.7%, R: 48%

Incumbent

Campaign Finance Data

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
10
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Oregon Primary Results

May 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
August 25, 2022
Toss-up
January 7, 2022
Tilt Republican
January 8, 2021
Battleground Republican
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
August 19, 2016
Toss-up
January 9, 2015
Tilt Republican
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
September 6, 2010
Tilt Republican
June 24, 2010
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+1.7D 49.7, R 48.0
2024
+1.7
2022
+4.1
2020
+3.6
2018
+6.5
2016
+4.0
2014
+6.0