Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New Hampshire
Senate III

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +2.3
D: 50.4%, R: 48.1%

Incumbent

Campaign Finance Data

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
12
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
SEP
8
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House: Money Isn’t Enough to Save Incumbents in Wave Elections

February 11, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2026
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
January 7, 2022
Tilt Democrat
January 8, 2021
Battleground Democrat
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
June 3, 2016
Toss-up
October 5, 2015
Tilt Republican
January 9, 2015
Lean Republican
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
October 1, 2010
Likely Republican
June 24, 2010
Lean Republican

Baselines

About
2025+2.3D 50.4, R 48.1
2024
+2.3
2022
+2.1
2020
+2.8
2018
+3.3
2016
+2.2
2014
+5.5