Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Hawaii
Senate III

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +35.6
D: 66.8%, R: 31.2%

Incumbent

Campaign Finance Data

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
8
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Alabama – Illinois

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 6, 2025): Alabama – Illinois

February 6, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 1, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
January 8, 2021
Solid Democrat
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2014
January 25, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
June 24, 2010
Solid Democrat

Baselines

About
2025+35.6D 66.8, R 31.2
2024
+35.6
2022
+39.8
2020
+38.8
2018
+38.5
2016
+36.2
2014
+36.0