Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Georgia
Senate III

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +4.1
D: 47.6%, R: 51.7%

Incumbent

Warnock

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
6
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
JUN
16
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Senate Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Primary Results in Alabama, Georgia and Oklahoma

June 17, 2026
by Nicholas Demba, Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2026
February 20, 2026
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
January 7, 2022
Toss-up
January 8, 2021
Battleground Democrat
2020
December 15, 2020
Toss-up
October 28, 2020
Tilt Republican
July 10, 2020
Lean Republican
December 6, 2019
Likely Republican
October 11, 2019
Likely Republican
August 28, 2019
Lean Republican
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
November 6, 2015
Solid Republican
January 9, 2015
Likely Republican
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
June 24, 2010
Solid Republican

Baselines

About
2025+4.1D 47.6, R 51.7
2024
+4.1
2022
+4.5
2020
+7.1
2018
+8.6
2016
+12.5
2014
+12.5