Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Minnesota
Senate II

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Likely D

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +6.9
D: 51.7%, R: 44.8%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

Campaign Finance Data

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
11
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Report Shorts (Dec. 18, 2025)

December 18, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
July 24, 2025
Likely Democrat
February 13, 2025
Battleground Democrat
January 9, 2025
Solid Democrat
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
December 15, 2020
Solid Democrat
June 28, 2019
Solid Democrat
January 4, 2019
Likely Democrat
2018
December 13, 2017
Likely Democrat
December 7, 2017
Likely Democrat
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
July 14, 2014
Likely Democrat
January 25, 2013
Solid Democrat
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+6.9D 51.7, R 44.8
2024
+6.9
2022
+6.4
2020
+7.4
2018
+9.2
2016
+6.7
2014
+8.0