Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Michigan
Senate II

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Toss-up

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +4.5
D: 51%, R: 46.5%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
21
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
4
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Report Shorts (Dec. 18, 2025)

December 18, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Senate Report Shorts (Aug. 28, 2025)

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
July 24, 2025
Toss-up
February 13, 2025
Toss-up
January 9, 2025
Battleground Democrat
2024
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
December 15, 2020
Lean Democrat
January 10, 2020
Lean Democrat
January 4, 2019
Likely Democrat
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
October 9, 2014
Likely Democrat
February 28, 2014
Lean Democrat
November 8, 2013
Likely Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
January 25, 2013
Solid Democrat
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+4.5D 51.0, R 46.5
2024
+4.5
2022
+5.0
2020
+1.9
2018
+3.7
2016
+1.4
2014
+1.8