Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Maine
Senate II

State Map

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Current Rating

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Tilt R

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +9.4
D: 52.4%, R: 43%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
15
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
9
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Senate Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Primary Results in Maine, Nevada and South Carolina

June 10, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Maine Senate: Corner of the Country, Center of the Battleground

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Dec. 18, 2025)

December 18, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Is Graham Platner Solving the Wrong Problem for Maine Democrats?

November 3, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Senate & Governor Report Shorts (Sept. 11, 2025)

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Senate Report Shorts (Aug. 28, 2025)

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Coverage

I’m a Maine Reporter Who Went to High School With Graham Platner. Here’s What Explains His Success.

June 26, 2026
NOTUS

Ratings

2026
July 24, 2025
Tilt Republican
January 9, 2025
Battleground Republican
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
December 15, 2020
Tilt Democrat
October 1, 2020
Tilt Democrat
April 3, 2020
Toss-up
January 4, 2019
Tilt Republican
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
July 30, 2013
Solid Republican
January 25, 2013
Likely Republican
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+9.4D 52.4, R 43.0
2024
+9.4
2022
+8.8
2020
+4.3
2018
+7.6
2016
+7.1
2014
+7.3