Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Georgia
Senate II

State Map

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Current Rating

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Tilt D

Baseline

What's This?
R +4.1
D: 47.6%, R: 51.7%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Polls

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Fabrizio Ward (R) & Impact Research (D) for AARP

52% D J. Ossoff
43% R M. Collins
Source: AARP Jul 13 – Jul 16, 2026

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
6
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
JUN
16
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Senate Report Shorts (August 6, 2026)

August 6, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba

The 19 Swing Counties to Watch in 2026 Senate Majority Fight

July 28, 2026
by Ashleigh Jones

Senate Report Shorts (July 23, 2026)

July 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nathan L. Gonzales

Senate Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Primary Results in Alabama, Georgia and Oklahoma

June 17, 2026
by Nicholas Demba, Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Georgia Results: Primary Voters Narrow Their Choices

May 20, 2026
by Nicholas Demba

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Georgia Senate: Republicans Try to Take Back Ground

February 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (August 14, 2025)

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Coverage

Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger says election audit found errors only in hand-marked ballots

July 10, 2026
Georgia Public Broadcasting

Ratings

2026
August 6, 2026
Tilt Democrat
July 24, 2025
Toss-up
January 9, 2025
Battleground Democrat
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
December 15, 2020
Toss-up
October 28, 2020
Toss-up
July 10, 2020
Tilt Republican
October 11, 2019
Likely Republican
January 4, 2019
Lean Republican
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
October 29, 2014
Toss-up
October 17, 2014
Lean Republican
July 29, 2013
Likely Republican
January 25, 2013
Solid Republican
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+4.1D 47.6, R 51.7
2024
+4.1
2022
+4.5
2020
+7.1
2018
+8.6
2016
+12.5
2014
+12.5