Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Alabama
Senate II

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Solid R

Baseline

What's This?
R +25.7
D: 36.9%, R: 62.6%
May 8, 2026
Alabama will use a new map for the 2026 election drawn to result in a net gain of one seat for Republicans.
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2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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JAN
23
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
JUN
16
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Primary Results in Alabama, Connecticut, Minnesota, South Carolina, Vermont and Wisconsin

August 12, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Senate Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Primary Results in Alabama, Georgia and Oklahoma

June 17, 2026
by Nicholas Demba, Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (August 14, 2025)

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Alabama Senate: Put Me in Coach

June 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Senate & Governor Report Shorts (June 5, 2025)

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
June 5, 2025
Solid Republican
January 9, 2025
Solid Republican
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
December 15, 2020
Lean Republican
January 4, 2019
Lean Republican
2018
December 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
November 14, 2017
Toss-up
September 29, 2017
Likely Republican
August 16, 2017
Likely Republican
February 10, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
January 25, 2013
Solid Republican
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+25.7D 36.9, R 62.6
2024
+25.7
2022
+24.7
2020
+22.7
2018
+20.7
2016
+20.7
2014
+18.0