Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Tennessee
Senate I

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +26.5
D: 35.8%, R: 62.3%
On May 7, 2026 Tennessee passed a new congressional map designed to give Republicans a net gain of one seat this fall.
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Incumbent

Blackburn

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
10
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
6
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Virginia Caps Off Wild Week of Redistricting Ratings Changes

May 8, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 22, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2026
January 9, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 6, 2023
Solid Republican
2020
January 4, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
April 20, 2018
Lean Republican
January 5, 2018
Likely Republican
October 13, 2017
Solid Republican
January 13, 2017
Solid Republican
2014
January 25, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
January 28, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+26.5D 35.8, R 62.3
2024
+26.5
2022
+25.1
2020
+25.1
2018
+25.8
2016
+29.5
2014
+29.5