Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Virginia
2nd District

Suburban Hampton Roads

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Toss-up

2024 Baseline

What's This?
D +3.4
D: 51.3%, R: 47.9%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
APR
21
2026
Redistricting Referendum
AUG
4
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia 2: A Rematch at the Beach

May 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia House: Four House Races Shift To Democrats

April 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia Redistricting: Democrats Pushing for Four More Seats

April 9, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

12 Initial Takeaways from Tuesday’s Elections

November 5, 2025
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Toss-up
March 7, 2025
Toss-up
2024
December 1, 2023
Tilt Republican
March 10, 2023
Tilt Republican
2022
November 3, 2022
Tilt Republican
February 8, 2022
Toss-up
2020
October 28, 2020
Likely Democrat
December 6, 2019
Lean Democrat
November 26, 2019
Lean Democrat
February 15, 2019
Tilt Democrat
2018
September 28, 2018
Tilt Republican
August 17, 2018
Lean Republican
December 1, 2017
Likely Republican
November 10, 2017
Likely Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
June 17, 2016
Solid Republican
April 11, 2016
Solid Republican
February 19, 2016
Lean Republican
January 14, 2016
Lean Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
June 14, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Likely Republican
2012
October 5, 2012
Likely Republican
January 27, 2012
Lean Republican
2010
October 29, 2010
Lean Republican
August 23, 2010
Tilt Republican