Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Utah
4th District

Southwestern Salt Lake City suburbs and southern Provo suburbs

District Map

District map
Current (2026) Previous (2022)

Current Rating

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Solid R

2024 Baseline

What's This?
R +41.8
D: 25.5%, R: 67.3%
November 10, 2025
On Nov. 10, 2025, a state judge ruled Utah must use a new congressional map for the 2026 election that will likely result in a Democratic net gain of one seat.
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2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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JAN
8
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
23
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Maryland, New York, Utah and South Carolina Primary Results

June 24, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

A Detailed Analysis of Utah’s New Congressional Map

November 11, 2025
by Nathaniel Rakich

Report Shorts (Oct. 9, 2025)

October 9, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Senate Report Shorts (Aug. 28, 2025)

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
May 8, 2026
Solid Republican
March 12, 2026
Solid Republican
December 5, 2025
Solid Republican
March 7, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
March 10, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
December 22, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
May 22, 2020
Tilt Democrat
December 6, 2019
Toss-up
February 15, 2019
Toss-up
2018
October 26, 2018
Toss-up
December 1, 2017
Lean Republican
October 19, 2017
Lean Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
June 17, 2016
Likely Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
January 6, 2014
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Toss-up
2012
November 2, 2012
Tilt Republican
August 24, 2012
Toss-up
January 13, 2012
Tilt Republican
December 16, 2011
Lean Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
November 4, 2011
Solid Republican