Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Texas
23rd District

San Antonio suburbs to El Paso suburbs

District Map

District map
Current (2026) Previous (2022)

Current Rating

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Likely R

2024 Baseline

What's This?
R +11.3
D: 43.6%, R: 54.9%
August 20, 2025
Texas passed a new congressional map in August 2025 designed to help the party flip as many as five Democratic-held districts.
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2026 Election

Incumbents

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Candidates

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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DEC
8
2025
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAR
3
2026
Primary Election Day
MAY
26
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Cornyn Loss Headlines Texas Primary Runoff Results

May 26, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Texas 34: New Flores, New District, Same Gonzalez

May 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (April 23, 2026)

April 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Texas, North Carolina Kick off 2026 Primaries

March 4, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Texas: Republicans, Democrats Face Critical Early Primaries

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
May 8, 2026
Likely Republican
March 12, 2026
Likely Republican
December 5, 2025
Solid Republican
March 7, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
March 10, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
February 18, 2022
Solid Republican
December 3, 2021
Likely Republican
November 15, 2021
Likely Republican
2020
October 16, 2020
Tilt Democrat
December 6, 2019
Lean Democrat
August 2, 2019
Lean Democrat
February 15, 2019
Toss-up
2018
October 12, 2018
Lean Republican
August 17, 2018
Tilt Republican
December 1, 2017
Toss-up
February 27, 2017
Toss-up
2016
December 4, 2015
Toss-up
April 3, 2015
Toss-up
2014
August 15, 2014
Lean Democrat
April 11, 2014
Likely Democrat
January 17, 2014
Lean Democrat
December 17, 2013
Tilt Democrat
March 8, 2013
Tilt Democrat
2012
May 30, 2012
Tilt Republican
January 13, 2012
Toss-up
December 2, 2011
Toss-up
2010
October 29, 2010
Toss-up
October 22, 2010
Tilt Democrat
August 23, 2010
Lean Democrat