Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Pennsylvania
8th District

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre and northeastern Pennsylvania

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Toss-up

2024 Baseline

What's This?
R +0.6
D: 48.6%, R: 49.2%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
10
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Oregon Primary Results

May 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Pennsylvania 8: Paiging the Incumbent

February 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (July 24, 2025)

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Pennsylvania 10: Familiar Faces

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
June 12, 2026
Toss-up
December 5, 2025
Tilt Republican
September 11, 2025
Tilt Republican
March 7, 2025
Lean Republican
2024
December 1, 2023
Tilt Democrat
March 10, 2023
Tilt Democrat
2022
March 11, 2022
Toss-up
2020
October 16, 2020
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Likely Democrat
February 15, 2019
Likely Democrat
2018
July 6, 2018
Lean Democrat
February 20, 2018
Likely Democrat
December 1, 2017
Lean Republican
February 27, 2017
Lean Republican
2016
October 21, 2016
Toss-up
December 4, 2015
Tilt Republican
April 3, 2015
Tilt Republican
2014
October 17, 2014
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Likely Republican
March 8, 2013
Likely Republican
2012
October 12, 2012
Likely Republican
June 29, 2012
Lean Republican
January 13, 2012
Tilt Republican
2010
October 22, 2010
Tilt Republican
October 15, 2010
Toss-up
October 1, 2010
Lean Democrat
August 23, 2010
Likely Democrat