Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New York
22nd District

Syracuse and Utica areas

District Map

District map
Current (2024) Previous (2022)

Current Rating

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Solid D

2024 Baseline

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D +8.7
D: 53.6%, R: 44.9%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
23
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Maryland, New York, Utah and South Carolina Primary Results

June 24, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Kentucky – New York

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (July 24, 2025)

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Solid Democrat
March 7, 2025
Likely Democrat
2024
October 18, 2024
Lean Democrat
March 1, 2024
Tilt Democrat
December 1, 2023
Toss-up
March 10, 2023
Toss-up
2022
October 7, 2022
Toss-up
May 25, 2022
Tilt Democrat
May 20, 2022
Lean Democrat
February 11, 2022
Likely Democrat
2020
May 22, 2020
Tilt Democrat
December 6, 2019
Toss-up
February 15, 2019
Toss-up
2018
September 28, 2018
Tilt Democrat
August 17, 2018
Toss-up
December 1, 2017
Tilt Republican
September 1, 2017
Tilt Republican
February 27, 2017
Lean Republican
2016
January 8, 2016
Toss-up
December 21, 2015
Toss-up
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
June 29, 2012
Solid Republican
June 1, 2012
Likely Republican
March 23, 2012
Lean Republican
2010
August 23, 2010