Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New York
19th District

Southeastern upstate New York

District Map

District map
Current (2024) Previous (2022)

Current Rating

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Lean D

2024 Baseline

What's This?
D +4.3
D: 51%, R: 46.7%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
23
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Maryland, New York, Utah and South Carolina Primary Results

June 24, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Kentucky – New York

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (July 24, 2025)

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Lean Democrat
March 7, 2025
Lean Democrat
2024
October 31, 2024
Tilt Democrat
October 18, 2024
Toss-up
December 1, 2023
Tilt Republican
March 10, 2023
Tilt Republican
2022
November 3, 2022
Toss-up
October 21, 2022
Toss-up
August 25, 2022
Tilt Democrat
May 25, 2022
Toss-up
May 20, 2022
Tilt Democrat
May 6, 2022
Likely Democrat
February 11, 2022
Likely Democrat
2020
May 22, 2020
Solid Democrat
February 21, 2020
Likely Democrat
December 6, 2019
Tilt Democrat
February 15, 2019
Tilt Democrat
2018
September 28, 2018
Tilt Democrat
August 17, 2018
Toss-up
December 1, 2017
Tilt Republican
February 27, 2017
Tilt Republican
2016
September 30, 2016
Toss-up
January 25, 2016
Lean Republican
December 4, 2015
Toss-up
April 3, 2015
Toss-up
2014
October 29, 2014
Solid Republican
October 24, 2014
Likely Republican
September 24, 2014
Lean Republican
December 17, 2013
Tilt Republican
March 8, 2013
Tilt Republican
2012
October 5, 2012
Tilt Republican
April 6, 2012
Toss-up
March 23, 2012
Solid Republican
2010
October 29, 2010
Tilt Republican
October 22, 2010
Toss-up
August 23, 2010