Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New York
18th District

Upper Hudson Valley

District Map

District map
Current (2024) Previous (2022)

Current Rating

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Solid D

2024 Baseline

What's This?
D +8.1
D: 53.3%, R: 45.2%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
23
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Maryland, New York, Utah and South Carolina Primary Results

June 24, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Kentucky – New York

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (July 24, 2025)

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Solid Democrat
March 7, 2025
Likely Democrat
2024
September 26, 2024
Likely Democrat
December 1, 2023
Lean Democrat
March 10, 2023
Lean Democrat
2022
October 21, 2022
Tilt Democrat
August 25, 2022
Lean Democrat
May 20, 2022
Lean Democrat
February 11, 2022
Likely Democrat
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
October 1, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Likely Democrat
2014
October 29, 2014
Tilt Democrat
October 17, 2014
Lean Democrat
July 18, 2014
Likely Democrat
April 11, 2014
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Likely Democrat
March 8, 2013
Likely Democrat
2012
October 19, 2012
Tilt Republican
August 24, 2012
Toss-up
March 23, 2012
Tilt Republican
2010
August 23, 2010