Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Nevada
3rd District

Southwestern Las Vegas area

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Lean D

2024 Baseline

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D +6.2
D: 51.4%, R: 45.2%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
13
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
9
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Primary Results in Maine, Nevada and South Carolina

June 10, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Kentucky – New York

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): Kansas – New York

March 7, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Lean Democrat
March 7, 2025
Lean Democrat
2024
March 28, 2024
Likely Democrat
December 1, 2023
Lean Democrat
March 10, 2023
Lean Democrat
2022
May 20, 2022
Tilt Democrat
January 10, 2022
Lean Democrat
December 3, 2021
Lean Democrat
2020
September 18, 2020
Likely Democrat
May 22, 2020
Likely Democrat
December 6, 2019
Lean Democrat
February 15, 2019
Lean Democrat
2018
December 1, 2017
Tilt Democrat
June 23, 2017
Tilt Democrat
February 27, 2017
Tilt Democrat
2016
December 4, 2015
Toss-up
July 6, 2015
Toss-up
April 3, 2015
Likely Republican
2014
October 17, 2014
Solid Republican
July 18, 2014
Likely Republican
December 17, 2013
Lean Republican
March 8, 2013
Lean Republican
2012
November 2, 2012
Lean Republican
December 2, 2011
Tilt Republican
November 4, 2011
Tilt Republican
2010
August 23, 2010
Tilt Republican