Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New Jersey
3rd District

Outer Philadelphia suburbs

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Solid D

2024 Baseline

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D +10.0
D: 54.1%, R: 44.1%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
23
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (April 23, 2026)

April 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Attorney Married to Ex-NFL Star Explores Run For Congress

December 4, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

12 Initial Takeaways from Tuesday’s Elections

November 5, 2025
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Solid Democrat
March 7, 2025
Solid Democrat
2024
December 1, 2023
Solid Democrat
November 13, 2023
Solid Democrat
March 10, 2023
Solid Democrat
2022
November 3, 2022
Likely Democrat
January 10, 2022
Solid Democrat
2020
October 28, 2020
Solid Democrat
October 16, 2020
Likely Democrat
May 22, 2020
Lean Democrat
December 6, 2019
Tilt Democrat
February 15, 2019
Tilt Democrat
2018
September 28, 2018
Tilt Democrat
September 14, 2018
Toss-up
August 17, 2018
Tilt Republican
July 20, 2018
Lean Republican
May 16, 2018
Likely Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
August 11, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Likely Republican
2014
October 29, 2014
Lean Republican
July 8, 2014
Tilt Republican
December 17, 2013
Toss-up
November 6, 2013
Toss-up
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
October 12, 2012
Likely Republican
March 23, 2012
Lean Republican
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
2010
October 29, 2010
Tilt Republican
October 22, 2010
Tilt Democrat
August 23, 2010
Lean Democrat