Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New Hampshire
1st District

Eastern New Hampshire

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Lean D

2024 Baseline

What's This?
R +1.1
D: 48.7%, R: 49.8%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
12
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
SEP
8
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Kentucky – New York

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 15, 2025)

May 15, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): Kansas – New York

March 7, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Lean Democrat
April 17, 2025
Lean Democrat
March 7, 2025
Lean Democrat
2024
September 12, 2024
Likely Democrat
December 1, 2023
Lean Democrat
March 10, 2023
Lean Democrat
2022
June 3, 2022
Tilt Democrat
2020
December 6, 2019
Likely Democrat
November 26, 2019
Likely Democrat
February 15, 2019
Lean Democrat
2018
October 26, 2018
Lean Democrat
February 16, 2018
Tilt Democrat
December 1, 2017
Toss-up
October 6, 2017
Toss-up
May 19, 2017
Tilt Democrat
February 27, 2017
Toss-up
2016
August 19, 2016
Tilt Democrat
December 4, 2015
Toss-up
August 11, 2015
Toss-up
April 3, 2015
Tilt Republican
2014
October 29, 2014
Tilt Democrat
September 12, 2014
Toss-up
December 17, 2013
Tilt Democrat
March 8, 2013
Tilt Democrat
2012
October 26, 2012
Toss-up
September 28, 2012
Tilt Republican
June 21, 2011
Lean Republican
2010
October 22, 2010
Likely Republican
August 23, 2010
Tilt Republican