Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Nebraska
2nd District

Greater Omaha area

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Lean D

Baseline

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D +0.8
D: 49.9%, R: 49.1%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Polls

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National Public Affairs (R)

50% D D. Powell
38% R B. Harding
6% I
Source: National Public Affairs Oct 2 – Oct 5, 2026

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
1
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
12
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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House Report Shorts (Oct. 15, 2026)

October 15, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Oct. 1, 2026)

October 1, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Sept. 17, 2026)

September 17, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Untangling the Democratic Dark Money Web Funding Independent Candidates

August 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Independents’ Day: Third-Party and Independent Candidates to Watch

August 6, 2026
by Inshara Ali

Why Trump’s Job Approval Rating Could be Headed Down Again

August 3, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales

House Report Shorts (July 23, 2026)

July 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nathan L. Gonzales

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 5, 2026)

February 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
October 15, 2026
Lean Democrat
December 5, 2025
Tilt Democrat
September 25, 2025
Toss-up
June 30, 2025
Toss-up
March 7, 2025
Tilt Republican
2024
October 10, 2024
Tilt Democrat
August 29, 2024
Toss-up
March 28, 2024
Tilt Republican
December 1, 2023
Lean Republican
March 10, 2023
Lean Republican
2022
August 25, 2022
Toss-up
December 3, 2021
Lean Republican
October 18, 2021
Lean Republican
2020
October 28, 2020
Tilt Democrat
August 7, 2020
Toss-up
December 6, 2019
Lean Republican
February 15, 2019
Lean Republican
2018
August 17, 2018
Lean Republican
December 1, 2017
Tilt Republican
November 10, 2017
Tilt Republican
February 27, 2017
Lean Republican
2016
January 25, 2016
Tilt Democrat
December 4, 2015
Toss-up
April 3, 2015
Toss-up
2014
October 29, 2014
Tilt Democrat
September 24, 2014
Toss-up
July 18, 2014
Tilt Republican
January 17, 2014
Likely Republican
December 17, 2013
Lean Republican
November 8, 2013
Lean Republican
March 8, 2013
Likely Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
June 21, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
October 1, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Likely Republican