Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

North Carolina
9th District

Eastern Piedmont region and part of the Fayetteville area

District Map

District map
Current (2026) Previous (2024)

Current Rating

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Likely R

Baseline

What's This?
R +14.5
D: 42.5%, R: 57%
October 22, 2025
The GOP-controlled North Carolina legislature redrew the state's congressional map in October 2025 to help Republicans gain a seat in the fall.
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2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Campaign Finance Data

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Polls

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Public Policy Polling (D) for House Majority PAC

46% R R. Hudson
42% D R. Ojeda
Source: Public Policy Polling Oct 19 – Oct 20, 2026

Past Elections

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Calendar

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DEC
19
2025
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAR
3
2026
Primary Election Day
MAY
12
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Report Shorts (Oct. 29, 2026)

October 29, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

The Issues Fueling the Most Expensive Ad War in Midterm History

October 26, 2026
by Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Oct. 15, 2026)

October 15, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Where White Women Could Swing in November

October 15, 2026
by Bradley Wascher

House Report Shorts (Sept. 17, 2026)

September 17, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Sept. 3, 2026)

September 3, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (August 6, 2026)

August 6, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
October 29, 2026
Likely Republican
December 5, 2025
Solid Republican
March 7, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
October 27, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
March 18, 2022
Solid Republican
December 3, 2021
Solid Democrat
November 19, 2021
Solid Democrat
2020
September 18, 2020
Solid Republican
May 22, 2020
Solid Republican
February 21, 2020
Likely Republican
January 16, 2020
Lean Republican
December 6, 2019
Lean Republican
September 11, 2019
Toss-up
February 15, 2019
Toss-up
2018
October 26, 2018
Toss-up
May 9, 2018
Tilt Republican
December 1, 2017
Likely Republican
September 1, 2017
Likely Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
February 10, 2012
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
July 18, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican