Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Minnesota
1st District

Southern Minnesota

District Map

District map

Current Rating

See All
Solid R

2024 Baseline

What's This?
R +7.1
D: 44.6%, R: 51.7%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidate

Campaign Finance Data

Loading finance data...

Past Elections

Subscribe

To view past election results you'll need to have access to an active subscription.

Sign UpLogin

Share

Twitter (X) Facebook Email

Calendar

See All
JUN
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
11
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

See All

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Dec. 18, 2025)

December 18, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Kentucky – New York

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 15, 2025)

May 15, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 1, 2025)

May 1, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): Kansas – New York

March 7, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Jan. 24, 2025)

January 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Solid Republican
March 7, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
March 10, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
February 18, 2022
Solid Republican
2020
October 28, 2020
Tilt Democrat
October 16, 2020
Toss-up
December 6, 2019
Tilt Republican
November 26, 2019
Tilt Republican
February 15, 2019
Lean Republican
2018
December 1, 2017
Toss-up
March 27, 2017
Toss-up
February 27, 2017
Lean Democrat
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
2010
September 24, 2010
Likely Democrat
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat