Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Maine
2nd District

Northern Maine

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Likely R

2024 Baseline

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R +3.9
D: 46.7%, R: 50.6%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
15
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
9
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Primary Results in Maine, Nevada and South Carolina

June 10, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Dec. 18, 2025)

December 18, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Nov. 6, 2025)

November 6, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Maine 2: Open Seat Shifts Toward Republicans

November 5, 2025
by Nathan Gonzales

Coverage

I’m a Maine Reporter Who Went to High School With Graham Platner. Here’s What Explains His Success.

June 26, 2026
NOTUS

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Likely Republican
November 6, 2025
Likely Republican
March 7, 2025
Tilt Democrat
2024
September 26, 2024
Toss-up
September 12, 2024
Tilt Democrat
December 1, 2023
Lean Democrat
March 10, 2023
Lean Democrat
2022
October 21, 2022
Tilt Democrat
December 3, 2021
Toss-up
October 11, 2021
Toss-up
2020
October 16, 2020
Solid Democrat
September 18, 2020
Lean Democrat
December 6, 2019
Tilt Democrat
February 15, 2019
Tilt Democrat
2018
September 28, 2018
Toss-up
September 14, 2018
Tilt Republican
May 16, 2018
Lean Republican
December 1, 2017
Likely Republican
February 27, 2017
Likely Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Toss-up
April 3, 2015
Toss-up
2014
September 12, 2014
Lean Democrat
December 17, 2013
Likely Democrat
July 19, 2013
Likely Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
September 28, 2012
Solid Democrat
April 6, 2012
Likely Democrat
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
January 20, 2011
Solid Democrat
2010
November 2, 2010
Likely Democrat
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat