Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Maryland
1st District

Eastern Shore and northeastern Baltimore exurbs

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Solid R

2024 Baseline

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R +17.5
D: 40.1%, R: 57.6%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
23
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Maryland, New York, Utah and South Carolina Primary Results

June 24, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (April 23, 2026)

April 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (Jan. 8, 2026)

January 8, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Maryland 6: Trone Polls Primary Matchup Against Incumbent McClain Delaney?

November 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): Kansas – New York

March 7, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Solid Republican
March 7, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
March 10, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
April 11, 2022
Solid Republican
January 21, 2022
Lean Republican
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
November 4, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
August 23, 2010
Lean Republican