Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Kansas
2nd District

Topeka, Kansas City, and parts of eastern Kansas

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Likely R

Baseline

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R +15.5
D: 41.1%, R: 56.6%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidate

Campaign Finance Data

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Polls

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DCCC Targeting & Analytics (D) for DCCC

49% R D. Schmidt
46% D D. Coover
Source: DCCC Analytics Oct 19 – Oct 20, 2026

Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
1
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
4
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Report Shorts (Oct. 29, 2026)

October 29, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Untangling the Democratic Dark Money Web Funding Independent Candidates

August 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Primary Results in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington

August 5, 2026
by Nicholas Demba & Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Report Shorts (Nov. 6, 2025)

November 6, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Oct. 23, 2025)

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): Kansas – New York

March 7, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
October 29, 2026
Likely Republican
December 5, 2025
Solid Republican
March 7, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
April 24, 2024
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
March 10, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
February 18, 2022
Solid Republican
2020
August 7, 2020
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
September 28, 2018
Toss-up
August 17, 2018
Tilt Republican
December 1, 2017
Lean Republican
August 18, 2017
Lean Republican
May 19, 2017
Likely Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
February 10, 2012
Solid Republican
2010
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican